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2025 Week Fourteen Recap

We finally made it. The playoffs are here, and it's officially one and done. Although it felt like that for a few of you these past couple of weeks. Nathan, Nick, Jon, and Jared, until next year, my friends.


For the top 6, it's go time. Let's get right into it.


WEEK 14 PAYOUT WINNER Photo Finish - Team that beats its opponent by the smallest margin of victory

Commish

Commish wins another one without even trying. Not gonna lie, fantasy is boring when you have the one seed locked up a month in advance. I haven't played a meaningful fantasy week in ages, yet I am still taking home weekly payouts. That may be my fourth payout this year? Meanwhile, Probst goes another year without winning one.


START OF THE WEEK

Probst, Jordan Love

In a must-win game, Probst sticks with J-Love from his beloved Packers to get the job done. And getting the job done, he did. Going into the afternoon games down close to 50pts with Nathan's team finished. Love finishing with 23.51pts almost ensured the win before the SNF started. While Love has been playing very well, we expect to see Drake Maye back in the lineup for the playoffs as the Packers go up against a tough Denver defense.


BLUNDER OF THE WEEK

Nathan's Team... Again

It's time we address the elephant in the room - Nathan's downfall.


Coming off back-to-back championships, he started the season 9-3 and was one of only three teams to beat the Commish this year. It felt as if he was a lock for the playoffs halfway through the season. But this is what happens when you get cocky and obnoxious. Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face. And what happened when Nathan took a right hook? The dude folded like a $5 Walmart lawn chair. He finished weeks 7-14 by going 3-13, winning only one game, and averaging 105 points during that stretch. No other team in league history has missed the playoffs after starting 5-1 on pure W/L record. So congrats for that.


INTERESTING ANNUAL STATS


1) Commish hit the 2000pts mark, only ever accomplished by two other teams in league history (Ryan & Nathan)


2) Commish ends up with the third-highest all-time winning % for a single season, only behind Ryan & Jared.


3) Nick officially rostered the worst team in league history, averaging only 105.42pts per game, only breaking the 100-point mark in 6 of 14 weeks.


4) Ryan made 10 transactions this year, which ties as his second-most transactions in a single season.


5) Commish went 5-5 on his Worst Value's players from the Draft Recap. No, we don't keep track of stats for Best Value, so don't ask.


6) Cheeno locked up his second-ever bye week, the first coming in the inaugural season. He lost in the Semi-Final that year.


7) Teams that get bye weeks have only won 3 of the 8 championships in league history. (Hate that stat)


8) Since moving to Sleeper in 2023, five teams have a combined winning percentage over 50%. Four of them are from the South. Jared is the worst at 34%, Commish is best at 72%.


9) Spencer had by far the easiest schedule this year, where teams only averaged 107 points per week against him.


10) Probst had by far the hardest; teams averaged 139.05pts against him.


11) The South went 19-11 against the North.


12) The North scored on average 118.51pts per week, the South was at 131.67.


13) The North was scored against on average 120.56pts per week, the South was at 129.67,


By the way, I recommend checking this out. Recently came across this sit and its pretty awesome. This takes our league and gives you all the fun stats you'd want to see. https://ffwrapped.com/?leagueId=1180651489730850816


WILDCARD WEEKEND PREVIEW - AI EDITION

You'd think AI is smart, and it is... For certain things. I had to handhold this fucking thing every step of the way. Honestly, I could have saved probably two hours of work by just writing it myself, but in order to be lazy, you gotta put in some work. So here it is, AI's version of the wildcard recap, supposedly with my writing style...


Commish & Cheeno (Bye Weeks)


Spencer vs Ryan

(Winner gets Commish. Yes, that Commish.)

Spencer didn’t kick his way into the playoffs — he outlasted people. Fourth seed. Middle of the road. Never great, never terrible, just consistently present while the North spent the season lighting itself on fire like it was a group project. He’s been doing the same boring shit every week and, annoyingly, it’s been working just enough.


That’s the danger. Spencer’s team doesn’t explode often, but it also doesn’t collapse. When things get sloppy around the league, he survives. When people chase upside and eat shit, he just keeps moving forward without saying a word. It’s infuriating. You don’t feel threatened by him until you look up and realize you’re losing.


Ryan is the opposite energy. He treats fantasy football like a background app, checks in when it’s convenient, and somehow still ended up here. His roster can absolutely flip a matchup when things break right, but it can also vanish without warning. Some weeks, it looks dangerous. Other weeks, it looks like he forgot there was a game.


This matchup is control versus chaos. Spencer wants to slow this into a dull, lifeless grind and win without anyone remembering how. Ryan needs the game to get stupid early. If it stays normal, Spencer survives. If it turns into a shitshow, Ryan has a chance.


Either way, the prize is a date with the Commish — which is less a reward and more a scheduled execution.


Prediction: Spencer 141 – Ryan 134

Probst vs Worzie

(Winner gets Cheeno. Slightly less terrifying, still not fun.)

Probst didn’t stroll into the playoffs — he kicked the fucking door down in Week 14. Season on the line. Win and you’re in. Lose and you’re Nathan. And Probst actually delivered, dragging himself into the postseason like a man who’s been fighting raccoons for food behind a Walmart. That kind of desperation doesn’t disappear in a week. It lingers. It festers. It’s dangerous.


Worzie, meanwhile, has been safe for weeks. Clinched early. No panic. No sweat. No urgency. Just a man enjoying the view from the top while everyone else beat the shit out of each other to survive. And sure — his team still has the firepower to turn a matchup into a blowout in six snaps. Mahomes, Amon-Ra, Diggs… the ceiling is stupid.


But that’s the thing: comfort breeds carelessness, and Probst is walking into this game like someone who already survived a car crash and now drives with the radio off and teeth clenched.

This matchup feels like controlled chaos versus someone who’s been living in chaos long enough to adapt to it.


If Worzie comes out hot, he can bury Probst early. But if this game even slightly drags into the mud, Probst is the one who benefits — he’s been playing mud-ball for weeks.


Cheeno will be waiting either way, rested and ready to punish whoever limps out of this.


Prediction: Probst 147 – Worzie 139


Good luck to everyone this week, except... Oh, wait a minute... That's right. Another week of not having to worry about anything. Bolt up. The Chargers end Chiefs' official playoff chances this week.





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